Spreadsheet Sleepers 2025, Volume One

In this edition of Spreadsheet Sleepers, Maxwell looks at a modern big man, a 3-and-D wing, and a high usage scale-down bet who could make waves in the 2025 NBA Draft.

Welcome back to Spreadsheets Sleepers! In this series, I use statistical data to identify under-the-radar prospects that fit different player archetypes. From there, I dive into the film. To contextualize the player’s output, I compare them to current NBA players who produced at a similar clip in college. Using these factors, I give my final assessment of the player’s stock and project where I see them in the future.

Michael Rataj, The High Usage Scale Down Bet

Factors Utilized: USG%, AST%, BLK%, STL%, 3P100

Previous NBA Examples: Draymond Green, Courtney Lee, John Konchar, David Roddy, Riley Minix

Today’s Prospect: Michael Rataj, 6’9”, 220 pounds, Junior, Oregon State

Statistics as of Query Date: 16.4 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 2.3 APG, 3.1 TOV, 2.1 SPG, 1.1 BPG

Shooting Splits as of Query Date: 50.0/40.0/91.2