Spreadsheet Sleepers 2025, Volume Two: The Bad Boys of BPM

In this edition of Spreadsheet Sleepers, Maxwell examines three under-the-radar prospects with BPMs, OBPMs, and DBPMs in line with those of long-term NBA players.

Welcome back to Spreadsheets Sleepers! In this series, I use statistical data to identify under-the-radar prospects that fit various player archetypes. From there, I dive into the film. To contextualize the player’s output, I compare them to current NBA players who produced at a similar clip in college. Using these factors, I give my final assessment of the player’s stock and project where I see them in the future.

Sometimes, it’s best to keep it simple. We know that BPM is one of the most reliable indicators of future NBA success. But it’s not perfect! A lot of guys will post a great BPM in college, but fail to achieve NBA success. That said, few successful NBA players laid BPM eggs in college. Today, we’re going to look at players from three different position groups. Each of these players graded out at an “average” level relative to long-term NBA players with regard to overall BPM, OBPM, and DBPM as of 1/20/2025. Basically, they’re looking like guys who appear to be providing a two-way impact at a level consistent with those who’ve made it work in the world’s greatest basketball league. Let’s get into it!