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The Shot is Just the Beginning: Diving into What Braylon Mullins’s Ceiling Could Be

Every college hoops fan knows Braylon Mullins can shoot, but it's everything else he could become that makes his NBA upside so fascinating.

Izzy Randazzo's avatar
Izzy Randazzo
Sep 29, 2026
∙ Paid

There are shots that win basketball games. There are shots that define seasons. And then there are shots that change the way we look at a player.

Braylon Mullins delivered one of those shots against Duke. If you’re a hoops fanatic like myself, I know you’ve probably rewatched that shot over a dozen times since March. If you’re at even more than a dozen, I respect you.

Thirty-five feet from the basket. The season hanging in the balance. A trip to the Final Four on the line. And the freshman from Greenfield, Indiana, had the audacity to let it fly.

Splash.

In an instant, Mullins went from one of the more intriguing shooting prospects in college basketball to the author of one of March Madness’s most unforgettable moments. While that shot will live forever in UConn history, though, it might also be the least interesting part of his long-term NBA projection.

Because the conversation surrounding Mullins shouldn’t begin and end with his shooting. It should be about what happens when a player who already commands defensive attention from well beyond the arc begins developing the tools to punish everything defenses do to take that shot away.

That’s where the ceiling gets interesting.

And after electing to return to Storrs for his sophomore season rather than enter the 2026 NBA Draft, Mullins has an opportunity to show exactly how much more there is to his game.


The Percentages Don’t Tell the Whole Story

Let’s address the elephant in the room.

For a prospect whose calling card is shooting, 33.5% from beyond the arc isn’t exactly a number that jumps off the page. In an evaluation process that can become overly reliant on percentages, it’s easy to look at Mullins’s freshman season and question whether his reputation as an elite shooting prospect was premature.

But shooting evaluation requires context. And with Mullins, that context changes the conversation considerably.

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